Ichimoku Kinko Hyo-'Ichimoku Cloud'
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Technical Indicator is predefined to characterize the market Trend, Support and Resistance Levels, and to generate signals of buying and selling. This indicator works best at weekly and daily charts.
When defining the dimension of parameters, four time intervals of different length are used. The values of individual lines composing this indicator are based on these intervals:
Tenkan-sen shows the average price value during the first time interval defined as the sum of maximum and minimum within this time, divided by two;
Kijun-sen shows the average price value during the second time interval;
Senkou Span A shows the middle of the distance between two previous lines shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval;
Senkou Span B shows the average price value during the third time interval shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval.
Chinkou Span shows the closing price of the current candle shifted backwards by the value of the second time interval. The distance between the Senkou lines is hatched with another color and called "cloud". If the price is between these lines, the market should be considered as non-trend, and then the cloud margins form the support and resistance levels.
If the price is above the cloud, its upper line forms the first support level, and the second line forms the second support level;
If the price is below cloud, the lower line forms the first resistance level, and the upper one forms the second level;
If the Chinkou Span line traverses the price chart in the bottom-up direction it is signal to buy. If the Chinkou Span line traverses the price chart in the top-down direction it is signal to sell.
Kijun-sen is used as an indicator of the market movement. If the price is higher than this indicator, the prices will probably continue to increase. When the price traverses this line the further trend changing is possible.
Another kind of using the Kijun-sen is giving signals. Signal to buy is generated when the Tenkan-sen line traverses the Kijun-sen in the bottom-up direction. Top-down direction is the signal to sell.
Tenkan-sen is used as an indicator of the market trend. If this line increases or decreases, the trend exists. When it goes horizontally, it means that the market has come into the channel.
Use
Commonly used in Japanese trading rooms, Ichimoku is often applied to establish the trend for a pair and detect trend breakouts. It is decent during range bound markets and like most indicators performance often improves when used over longer time frames.
History
The Ichimoku Cloud was originally called the 'Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.' Where Ichimoku means 'one glance,'Kinko 'balance' and Hyo 'chart.' Thus the full translation could best be described as 'one glance balanced chart.' Originally developed by Goichi Hosada pre WWII, a newspaper journalist (published in 1969) who wanted to develop an Uber-indicator that could provide the trader with various levels of support/resistance, entry/exit points, direction of the trend, and strength of the signal.
Kumo, the Ichimoku Cloud
It later became known as the 'Ichimoku Cloud' since the most characteristic feature of the indicator is the cloud (Kumo), which is designed to represent various levels of support and resistance. In developing the cloud, Hosada realized support/resistance levels were not single lines drawn in the sand, since traders were often placing their trades at various distances from the support levels. Thus, since support was many layers deep from the offers/bids around the level, he created a cloud to represent the past levels of support/resistance. The cloud is composed of the two Senkou Span lines (A&B or 1&2) which are pushed forward in time, and when the area between them is shaded in, it makes a cloud-like shape. The most basic theory of this indicator is that if the price is above the cloud, the overall trend is bullish while below the cloud is bearish, and in the cloud is non-biased or unclear. Lastly, when the price is above the cloud, then the top of the cloud will act as a general support level, and when price is below, the cloud base will act as resistance. But remember the cloud has thickness, and thus resistance does as well, which by making these thicker reduces the risk of a false breakout.
Tenkan & Kijun Lines
The indicator goes much further than this, with using two moving average lines; the Tenkan Line and the Kijun Line, which are 9 and 26 day moving averages (exponential). The Tenkan Line is really the conversion line which is when crosses the Kijun line from underneath, is indicative of a bullish signal. When it crosses over the Kijun line from above pointing downward, it becomes indicative of a bearish signal.
Chikou Span
There is also one last line called the Chikou Span, which is representative of today's price moved back 26 periods ago. This is where the strength of the signal comes in. If you have a bearish signal (downward crossover of the Tenkan over the Kijun) and the Chikou Span is below the base, then the signal strength increases. If you have a bullish crossover (Tenkan crosses the Kijun from underneath) and the Chikou Span is above the cloud top, then the signal strength increases.
There is one last metric for the strength of the signal and confirmation for your buy/sell signal. If the crossover of the two lines (Tenkan & Kijun) occurs above the cloud, then the bullish signal strength increases and is further confirmation. If the crossover occurs below the cloud, then the bearish signal intensifies and is further confirmation. Medium buy/sell signals occur when the crossover takes place in the cloud, and weak occurs when the bullish crossover is below the cloud, while a weak bearish signal occurs above the cloud.
Formulas
• Tenkan Line; (highest high + lowest low)/2 calculated over last 9 periods.
• Kijun Line; (highest high + lowest low)/2 calculated over last 26 periods.
• Chikou Span; (most current closing price plotted 26 time periods back.
• Senkou Span A; (Tenkan line + Kijun Line)/2 plotted 26 time periods ahead
• Senkou Span B; (highest high + lowest low)/2 calculated over past 52 time periods, sent 26 periods ahead.
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