Stock Market Investing Ideas

[Joao-D]

The "Investing Ideas" have two portfolios, one for Shares and one for ETFs.


Each Portfolio have $ 100,000 USD.
Each entry corresponds to 10% of the portfolio, to be fully exposed is necessary to have 10 positions in each portfolio.


"Investing in ETFs" is a medium risk investment portfolio.
In this portfolio are traded ETFs listed on U.S. market

"Investing in Equities" is a medium/high risk investment portfolio.
In this portfolio are traded Equities listed on U.S. market, some Equities with high volatility.

The trading commissions are $ 7.50 USD.

All businesses have a written supplement placed before or a few days after the entry.

Generally, low-risk investments have a higher level of security for investor but tend to have a lower return.
High-risk investments, on the other hand, can bring a higher return, but with a much higher degree of uncertainty, which may cause heavy losses to investors.

Rule:
All entries and exits must be written first in forum and are limited to the next opening, so every business can be seen before materialize.
In practice, this rule makes the results are seen always rounded by default, which endows them complete validity and realism.

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The first phase is analyze the general market conditions.

Standard& Poor's 500 Index(S&P 500)
General market conditions analysis

http://www.scribd.com/doc/34273740/G...tions-analysis

[BadThad]

Welcome to SMC!

I've moved your thread to a more appropriate area.

[Joao-D]

Originally Posted by BadThad

Welcome to SMC!

I've moved your thread to a more appropriate area.

Thank you. :-)

[Joao-D]

Update

Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500)
General Market Conditions Analysis

General market*conditions analysis

[Joao-D]

Investing Ideas: LEE MNI PMI
Investing Ideas

[Joao-D]

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey shows that investors are optimistic.
Using the theory of contrary opinion I decided close all positions.

[Joao-D]

Completed Businesses

[Joao-D]

I will buy

ETFs:

Alpine Global Premier Properties Fund (AWP)
MKT VECTORS RUSSIA (RSX)
ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL (EWZ)


Shares:

BANK OF IRELAND-SPON (IRE)
ALIIED IRISH BANKS-A (AIB)


Brief Justification

Based on the analysis technique, the overall market conditions are oversold.

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, revealed in the past week that members are pessimistic.
Bullish: 20.74%, Neutral: 29.79%, Bearish: 49.47%

The Ratio AAII = AAII Bullish/(AAII Bullish+ AAII Bearish) = 29,50%
The Ratio AAII < 30% is usually a good entry point.

The combination of these two factors may push the market higher.

[Joao-D]

In the short term some technical indicators show overbought conditions.
overbought conditions not mean a reversal imminent, it may take time, but I have to decide in advance between sell or hold, I decide to sell because my certainty is zero.

[mandev99]

Stock markets are bound to follow cyclical movements so long term investments need to be restructured as long term investment with portfolio switch for better return to be exercised from time to time to ensure higher gains over same time span