fz4fun's holdings (Or how not to make money)

[fz4fun]

Thought I would post my current holdings here.
A large amount of these are for dividend income and some for speculative plays.

I will just list current holdings for now and elaborate in later posts my reasons for each play. (if anyone is actually interested-that is)

Here goes

Stock Shares Price Reason
BPT 50 83.50 Dividend Play
ETFCP 1000 5.07 Dividend Play
FRO 500 60.18 Dividend Play
GMW 250 15.33 Dividend Play
GNK 400 73.59 Dividend Play
HK 300 35.69 Nat Gas
HYGS 3000 1.67 Pure Speculation
IHME 3000 0.26 Pure Speculation
ISDR 5000 0.67 Old penny play
LNN 300 110.30 Agricultural company
NAT 500 38.58 Dividend Play
PBR 300 57.41 Brazil energy play
RGM 268 16.71 Dividend Play
SBR 30 61.80 Dividend Play
TDCP 3000 0.30 Who knows why at this rate
URRE 2500 3.26 Bounce/volatility
WM 2500 7.97 Financial waiting for bounce


Right now-I am absolutely getting killed as you can see by current prices

But I am an optimist and will try to keep this updated as I buy and sell my positions.


....more to follow, Thanks for listening

[fz4fun]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

Thought I would post my current holdings here.
A large amount of these are for dividend income and some for speculative plays.

I will just list current holdings for now and elaborate in later posts my reasons for each play. (if anyone is actually interested-that is)

...


....more to follow, Thanks for listening

Just sold 1000 WM @ 4.25 for small profit and bought 500 URRE @ 2.70

New Positions as follows

Stock Shares Price Reason
BPT 50 83.50 Dividend Play
ETFCP 1000 5.07 Dividend Play
FRO 500 60.18 Dividend Play
GMW 250 15.33 Dividend Play
GNK 400 73.59 Dividend Play
HK 300 35.69 Nat Gas
HYGS 3000 1.67 Pure Speculation
IHME 3000 0.26 Pure Speculation
ISDR 5000 0.67 Old penny play
LNN 300 110.30 Agricultural company
NAT 500 38.58 Dividend Play
PBR 300 57.41 Brazil energy play
RGM 268 16.71 Dividend Play
SBR 30 61.80 Dividend Play
TDCP 3000 0.30 Who knows why at this rate
URRE 3000 3.17 Bounce/volatility
WM 1500 10.64 Financial waiting for bounce

Hope next week is better than this week

[sg1efc]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

I will just list current holdings for now and elaborate in later posts my reasons for each play. (if anyone is actually interested-that is)

I think lots of people are interested in info like this, but many people just like to lurk and not post. Hopefully your stocks will go up soon (and mine also, LoL!)

[fz4fun]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

Just sold 1000 WM @ 4.25 for small profit and bought 500 URRE @ 2.70

New Positions as follows

Stock Shares Price Reason
BPT 50 83.50 Dividend Play
ETFCP 1000 5.07 Dividend Play
FRO 500 60.18 Dividend Play
GMW 250 15.33 Dividend Play
GNK 400 73.59 Dividend Play
HK 300 35.69 Nat Gas
HYGS 3000 1.67 Pure Speculation
IHME 3000 0.26 Pure Speculation
ISDR 5000 0.67 Old penny play
LNN 300 110.30 Agricultural company
NAT 500 38.58 Dividend Play
PBR 300 57.41 Brazil energy play
RGM 268 16.71 Dividend Play
SBR 30 61.80 Dividend Play
TDCP 3000 0.30 Who knows why at this rate
URRE 3000 3.17 Bounce/volatility
WM 1500 10.64 Financial waiting for bounce

Hope next week is better than this week

OK so a long time ago I started this thread and then the market absolutely tanked. - so I never updated anything and almost all the above positions were about wiped out in the drop. Actually the only survivor is ISDN at the price posted-everything else was sold at a great loss to my portfolio value.

So I will start a new post and try to keep up from there.

[fz4fun]

Here goes my new attempt at keeping this thread current. I will separate the positions by long term hold and short term/trading positions as best I can.

Holdings as of 4/17/09:

Long Term Positions
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
AFSI............... 6.40................. 10.16....................... up 58%
CVS............... 21.26................. 30.14..................... .up 42%
GNK............... 7.15................... 19.08..................... up 19%
ISDR .............. 0.34...................0.011................. down 97% (did I say that I hate penny stocks)
SBR ................ 39.54.................38.41 ................. .down 3% (monthly dividends)
STEM.............. 2.35.................. 1.69 ..................... down 28%

Short Term/Trades
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
DRYS.................6.02..................7.17 .....................up 19%
FAZ..................16.79................... 8.90 .....................down 47%
HERO.................2.68 .................. 3.01 .....................up 12%
UYG....................3.94 ..................3.79 ...................down 4%

I have sold 1/2 my UYG position at a profit so these shares are actually much lower in cost basis if you calculate the profit taken. I will try to update that on the fly in a later post.

So that is my updated position so far in trading.
This was a good week for me and my total increase in value was about 17%.

[fz4fun]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

Here goes my new attempt at keeping this thread current. I will separate the positions by long term hold and short term/trading positions as best I can.

Holdings as of 4/17/09:

Long Term Positions
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
AFSI............... 6.40................. 10.16....................... up 58%
CVS............... 21.26................. 30.14..................... .up 42%
GNK............... 7.15................... 19.08..................... up 19%
ISDR .............. 0.34...................0.011................. down 97% (did I say that I hate penny stocks)
SBR ................ 39.54.................38.41 ................. .down 3% (monthly dividends)
STEM.............. 2.35.................. 1.69 ..................... down 28%

Short Term/Trades
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
DRYS.................6.02..................7.17 .....................up 19%
FAZ..................16.79................... 8.90 .....................down 47%
HERO.................2.68 .................. 3.01 .....................up 12%
UYG....................3.94 ..................3.79 ...................down 4%

I have sold 1/2 my UYG position at a profit so these shares are actually much lower in cost basis if you calculate the profit taken. I will try to update that on the fly in a later post.

So that is my updated position so far in trading.
This was a good week for me and my total increase in value was about 17%.

So I have been doing lots of reading this week-end and am starting to feel like we are due for a down turn soon. The feel good numbers from the financial reporting have fueled my account higher over the past 6 weeks and I think the euphoria of that is about to fade and reality may settle back into this sector soon. I will probably close my UYG position sooner than originally planned (have sold 1/2 already for nice profit) and look to add to FAZ in the coming week. FAZ is trading very near its bottom now. The pSar hasn't turned to a buy situation yet on the chart, but I look for it to do so very soon and want to strengthen my position to best leverage a financial downturn into profit. That is the same thing I did on the last downturn-bought into the drop with FAS and UYG as they traded lower and sold into the run up.
My DRYS position is also likely to get flipped this week and the jury is still out on HERO. HERO has nice upside for longer turn and I will watch that for a better signal as to its longer term direction.

Thanks and thats all for now

Let's all do the banana dance again this week

[thegreatgate]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

I will probably close my UYG position sooner than originally planned (have sold 1/2 already for nice profit) and look to add to FAZ in the coming week. FAZ is trading very near its bottom now.

You may want to look at BGZ which is -3x the Russell 1000 index (not only financials so less volatility).
Symbol on Yahoo/Finance is ^RUI: Russell 1000 Index ^RUI
It is far less volatile than FAZ. For example, on Friday FAZ lost 4.51% and BGZ only shred 2.07%.

BGZ 52-week low: $45.40
Friday's close: $46.09

When it is time to jump onto the short bus, here is the strategy I plan to use:
1) First purchase: grab BGZ, less volatile, just to get a feel for it.

2) Second purchase: If the timing is bad and BGZ/FAZ go down after first purchase (which the timing won't be perfect), grab FAZ on second purchase which will be at a lower PPS than the first purchase of BGZ

3) Third purchase: The most rewarding if timing is precise but also the most risky trade would be to short FAS. It's pretty simple math....FAZ goes up 50%, you gain 50%.....Short FAS and it drops 50%, you got yourself a double, 100% gain.

**I probably won't stick to this formula but I thought about it over the weekend and wanted to put it out there**

[fz4fun]

Originally Posted by fz4fun

So I have been doing lots of reading this week-end and am starting to feel like we are due for a down turn soon. The feel good numbers from the financial reporting have fueled my account higher over the past 6 weeks and I think the euphoria of that is about to fade and reality may settle back into this sector soon. I will probably close my UYG position sooner than originally planned (have sold 1/2 already for nice profit) and look to add to FAZ in the coming week. FAZ is trading very near its bottom now. The pSar hasn't turned to a buy situation yet on the chart, but I look for it to do so very soon and want to strengthen my position to best leverage a financial downturn into profit. That is the same thing I did on the last downturn-bought into the drop with FAS and UYG as they traded lower and sold into the run up.
My DRYS position is also likely to get flipped this week and the jury is still out on HERO. HERO has nice upside for longer turn and I will watch that for a better signal as to its longer term direction.

Thanks and thats all for now

Let's all do the banana dance again this week

Changes to this weeks positions as follows:
Sold my DRYS in total @ $6.75 at market open for a profit, also liquidated the remainder of my UYG position @3.41. Took the money and doubled my position in HERO and also doubled my existing position in FAZ in anticipation of rough roads for financials.
Current positions with changes in bold:

Originally Posted by fz4fun
I will separate the positions by long term hold and short term/trading positions as best I can.

Holdings as of 4/20/09:

Long Term Positions
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
AFSI............... 6.40................. 10.16....................... up 58%
CVS............... 21.26................. 30.14..................... .up 42%
GNK............... 7.15................... 19.08..................... up 19%
ISDR .............. 0.34...................0.011................. down 97% (did I say that I hate penny stocks)
SBR ................ 39.54.................38.41 ................. .down 3% (monthly dividends)
STEM.............. 2.35.................. 1.69 ..................... down 28%

Short Term/Trades
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
FAZ..................13.50................... 11.63 .....................down 14%
HERO.................2.645 .................. 2.51 .....................down 5%

[fz4fun]

I need to update my positions again-lots of trades last 2 weeks but wanted to post this info for now that I picked up at an option trading site I belong to:

The risk of a bearish pattern has popped up on all of the major averages charts, but most especially on the S&P 500.

The upside-down "cup and handle" pattern will become active on a breakdown below 870. The downside risk isn't huge, but could see the SPX head back into the 850s. That is the last thing the bulls want to see happening right now.

Could it be a head-fake? Sure, but the pattern is there and, if it triggers, could help undo a lot of the recent advances. Keep this on the radar and be prepared to act.

If tomorrow goes south and the S&P dips-we may have a slight reversal-couple that pattern with a delay in releasing the stress test results on Monday because some of the banks are arguing with the Fed over the results could spell some sell off activity in financials and other sectors. The bulls may not be out of the woods just yet-so trade carefully and don't be afraid to take profit in green positions.

Just my opinion-always remember to develop an exit plan in any play before you make it

[fz4fun]

Trying to update a hectic couple weeks:
Here goes:
Sold HERO on 4/27 bought @2.645 and sold @ 2.90
Bought back into HERO after another run up and sold again
Bought on 5/07 @4.55 and sold on 5/11 @4.80
Bought PCX on 4/30 @6.34 avg and sold on 5/07 @8.65
Bought back into PCX on 5/08 @ 9.07 and still holding for now
Bought LPX on 4/24 @3.95 and sold on 5/07 @4.53
Bought more FAZ on 5/07 @ 4.79 and still holding
Bought OREX on 5/01 and 5/07 avg of 2.735 and holding for now
Bought AKRX on 5/12 @1.05 and holding for now
Bought TMCV on 5/12 @1.02 and holding for now


Long Term Positions
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
AFSI............... 6.40................. 9.77....................... up 52%
CVS............... 21.26................. 32.98..................... .up 55%
DNDN..............7.17..................20.19..... .................up 181%
GNK............... 7.15................... 19.00..................... up 165%
ISDR .............. 0.34...................0.036................. down 89% (did I say that I hate penny stocks)
SBR ................ 39.54.................41.99 ................. .up 6% (monthly dividends)
STEM.............. 2.35.................. 1.73 ..................... down 26%

Short Term/Trades
STOCK.........Entry PPS.........Current PPS.........% change.........Comment
FAZ..................8.42................... 5.42 .....................down 36%


I think that is most of it for now. Will try to clean up the format the next time I post

Thanks and hope you find this interesting
Questions welcome always