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07-15-2007, 05:57 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 396
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July 15th- July 20th
What are peoples thoughts this week on any pair?
I know its sunday, and the market just opened, but i am taking a quick short position in USD/JPY.
I read a few things over the weekend about the yen being was wanted to pay for oil instead of the dollar? I could be wrong, but i was also told not to worry too much as, its like paying bills with pennies, too many yen.
Anyway, since its really only me and you wolf, what are your thoughts for the up coming week.
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07-15-2007, 06:43 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 396
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Got out of my USD JPY short, as it ran up past my entry so i got into NZD USD, seeing that news was expected with high impact. I looked at the overall trend and decided id take the risk that the news was good, and i got lucky on this one haha.
Last edited by daiello; 07-15-2007 at 06:50 PM.
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07-15-2007, 07:12 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 396
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
I feel like talking to myself for a while haha.
I sold out of NZD USD for a quick 14 pips, so watching the 5-15 minute charts i decided to short USD JPY again. I should wait for the spread to tighten but ill try this out.
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07-16-2007, 12:49 AM
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Jedi Master
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Italy
Posts: 1,371
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Quote:
Originally Posted by daiello
I feel like talking to myself for a while haha.
I sold out of NZD USD for a quick 14 pips, so watching the 5-15 minute charts i decided to short USD JPY again. I should wait for the spread to tighten but ill try this out.
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look likes you are right… ;) don’t talk too laud :D
by now, I was hoping to keep you company, but unfortunately I had to give up forex (before I even started) because I am still too busy trading over here and USA
as normally I don’t trade during the summer I thought to dedicate few hours to learn the forex….
I have to find a simulator that I understand and maybe find some time next month
Are those your real or simulated trades? Sounds like you doing well
Good luck …
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07-16-2007, 11:00 AM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 199
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Howdy... don't have much time at this moment--but at the top of my list to watch----I'm lookin for the EUR/JPY to test from 168.00 to 167.00-166.50 area... EUR/USD to perhaps test to 1.3700 or possibly 1.3650...and $/CAD to take a retrace to 1.0550 and 1.06...but rising oil/gas prices may keep the $/CAD in sideways ranges. GBP/USD may come off its highs a 100 pips or so but I don't see any target yet for the Pound...
This is what I am WATCHING for--these thoughts go against the trend--so they are riskier and harder to call for entry/exit plays...
Trade safe and trade smart!
-w
__________________
"Trade Safe, Trade Smart!!"
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07-16-2007, 12:09 PM
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Jedi Master
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Italy
Posts: 1,371
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
FXW
I see that you mention the
Quote:
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EUR/USD to perhaps test to 1.3700 or possibly 1.3650
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is it you thought to go short or do you see to came down to that ..
over here there is talk thet it could reach 1.40 the same persons estimate to reach 1.38 when it was at 1.35+
for info today I sold same USA shares and they give me the exchange at 1.37998
IMO at the mo it is more likely to retrace under 1.37 then go to 1.40
although I am not a forex player, I have to follow it because I buy/sell in USA with €
have a nice day....
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07-16-2007, 05:30 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 396
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Well it didnt work out for me haha.
Down 136$ overall.
Seems i make one smart play, followed by a bad play.
I should probably hold longer, and widen my Stop loss range, as a play i was in last night just barely hit my stop loss and then shot upwards over my take profit.
Oh well, still learning.
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07-16-2007, 07:35 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 199
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ciao
FXW
I see that you mention the
is it you thought to go short or do you see to came down to that ..
over here there is talk thet it could reach 1.40 the same persons estimate to reach 1.38 when it was at 1.35+
for info today I sold same USA shares and they give me the exchange at 1.37998
IMO at the mo it is more likely to retrace under 1.37 then go to 1.40
although I am not a forex player, I have to follow it because I buy/sell in USA with €
have a nice day.... 
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I think the EURo will hit 1.40 yes--august or september is the prime time for that IMO--I will be surprised if it breaks that level before August.. The pullback I was talking about is where I think the pairs will dip to this week before continuing with the trend..and those areas are the buy-in areas where I think I may wait for those to be breaches or hit before I take a trade.
Trading against a trend is much more difficult than trading with the trend--for every move there eventually is a counter move--and how MUCH that counter move is can tell you how well or how poorly you are interpreting the market condition. So unless circumstances present better trading levels and signals, I often will look for dip targets to enter in to to trade with the trend.. Occasionally I will takie a dip trade if I feel strongly about it--it can be a great way to short a pair and then long it and make money in both directions...but again trading against a trend can be haphazardous as it can turn on you in favor of the trend very quickly.
The area's I noted were dip targets which if they happen and occur will tell me I am reading the charts correctly in anticipating what they will do for the bigger gains.. Its looking for "confirmations" or validations--to help me decide and better read what is going on.. If it happens-0-great and I know I can fulfill my plans--if it does not--it causes me to re-assess and sit back to wait for an opportunity.. Keeps me from trading recklessly and without reason. Just a habit I have learned....
FXW
__________________
"Trade Safe, Trade Smart!!"
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07-16-2007, 07:38 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 199
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
Quote:
Originally Posted by daiello
Well it didnt work out for me haha.
Down 136$ overall.
Seems i make one smart play, followed by a bad play.
I should probably hold longer, and widen my Stop loss range, as a play i was in last night just barely hit my stop loss and then shot upwards over my take profit.
Oh well, still learning.
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If a stop loss is just barely hit--try and figure out where you went wrong--did you place your stop too tightly for the pair (some pairs you need to have a wide stop loss), or did you place it on a Support or resistance or pivot line or other key market area.. If you can learn to identify such areas--it can help you better place your stops so you don't just barely get hit... I know how those hits can be--frustrating...but it offers you a learning method to figuing out the mistake so you don't make them again...
FXW
__________________
"Trade Safe, Trade Smart!!"
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07-16-2007, 07:45 PM
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Jedi Padawan
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 396
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Re: July 15th- July 20th
I put it ON the support line.
How much lower should i have put it?
Also, just made 4 plays with an average of a 10$ gain per trade, so my 130$ loss is now just 90$.
You want to hop in chat and talk, or are you busy?
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