Last night on chat I said FAZ will never hit $30 again in our lifetimes. I know it is flying now but think about a couple things:
1) It follows the
rifin.x and the rifin.x is at 532.75 right now. From the January 6th year high close of 663 on the rifin.x it dropped down to a 338 low ( - 49% drop) which took FAZ from a January 6th close of $34 to the years day high on March 6th of $115 which is a 238% gain. But think about what the Dow did over the same period. The Dow had a January 6th close of 9,015 to the March 9th low of 6,547 (- 27.4%).....
January 6th
rifin.x = 663
dow = 9,015
FAZ = $34
FAS = $26
March 6th
rifin.x = 338......................................... - 49%
dow = 6,547 (March 9th)....................... - 27.4%
FAZ = $115 day high (closed at $104)....+238%
FAS = $2.32 day low (closed at $2.64).. - 91%
2) To match the unheard of devastation and declines of January/February you subtract 27.4% from the Dow's highest recent close of 8,131 which shreds 2,228 points and takes the Dow to a new low of 5,903.
3) If scenario 2 happened you could expect FAZ to go up 238% which would take FAZ from the $8.50 bottom to $28.73/share.
4) If FAZ did go to $30 or higher, where would that put FAS and UYG? FAS lost 91% of it's value from the January 6th high of $26 to the March 6th low of $2.32. So take the highest recent close of FAS ($9.75) and subtract 91%. You are left with an 88 cent stock.
5) Each time the market crashes FAZ is creating lower highs. November 21 set FAZ's record high of $202 but the Dow only bottomed at 7,552 back then......New bottom was about 1,000 points lower but only got FAZ to $115....
6) I think the market lows are in....We are not going to test 6,500 on the Dow again....but I could be wrong
*** FAZ will always be a nice play to go to when you sense a series of down days coming. It is also a great ETF to own right now. Good luck! ***
Current pre-market prices:
FAS: $5.97
FAZ: $12.62