Help with a Rule of Thumb Statistic
Hi All,
I’ve come across a rule of thumb statistic that 85% of the time, stocks tend to role sideways. This would mean 15% of the time, stocks tend to trend either upwards or downwards.
My question is, would this imply stocks trend upwards 7.5% of the time and likewise downwards 7.5% of the time, or does this split work out differently in practice?
If anyone has ideas on how this 15% should be split between upwards and downwards, I am all ears.
Thanks in Advance for all responses.
(I’m aware it’s a general rule of thumb with no right or wrong answer that shouldn’t be taken as gospel).
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